The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porto DAscoli 39.9%
Draw 31.9%
Notaresco 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
28.2%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
27.3%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto DAscoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto DAscoli's form might have worsened.
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notaresco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto DAscoli than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto DAscoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notaresco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out)).
Recent matches Porto D'Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Nicolรฒ Notaresco is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Porto D'Ascoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently San Nicolรฒ Notaresco have a series of home games.
In this match Porto D'Ascoli is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Porto D'Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Porto D'Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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