Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 12

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Porto Velho		Manauara

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.71	3.2	2.42
	2.79	3.14	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.24	2.34
	2.7	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.32)	3.2 (3.2)	2.37 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto Velho
33.4%

Draw
28.4%

Manauara
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

30.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto Velho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto Velho's form might have worsened.

Manauara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manauara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Velho than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto Velho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manauara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Porto Velho - Manauara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Porto Velho will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Manauara will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Matheus Bidick ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent matches Porto Velho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Manauara is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Manauara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Porto Velho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Serie D
30.06.24	Manaus - Porto Velho	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	São Raimundo PR - Porto Velho	4:1 ✺
23.06.24	Porto Velho - Princesa do Solimões	6:1 ✺
15.06.24	Porto Velho - Rio Branco FC	2:0 ✺
08.06.24	Porto Velho - São Raimundo PR	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW
- Manauara EC
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.24	Princesa do Solimões - Manauara	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Manauara - Manaus	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Humaitá - Manauara	0:5 ✺
12.06.24	Manauara - Trem	4:1 ✺
08.06.24	Trem - Manauara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.05.24	Manauara - Porto Velho	3:1

Porto Velho - Manauara