The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portogruaro Summaga 34.8%
Draw 29%
Este 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
28.6%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
29.2%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portogruaro Summaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Este has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portogruaro Summaga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Este than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Portogruaro Summaga - Este Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Barzon L. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Barzon L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+13', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portogruaro won 1.
Portogruaro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Este is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Este may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portogruaro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portogruaro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).