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Current Win Probability
Portugal 47.8%
Draw 29.2%
Uruguay 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.8%
28.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.4%
17.6%
12%
Portugal - Uruguay Predictions
Users Predictions:
267 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 188 - 70.4%). Uruguay will win (votes: 32 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 47 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 64.9% โ 75.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Portugal has a good chance of 1st place (67), has a chance of 2nd place (21), has a good chance of round of 16 (88), has a chance of quarter-finals (50), has a chance of semi-finals (27), has a small chance of final (15), has a small chance of win world cup (7).
Uruguay has a chance of 1st place (20), has a chance of 2nd place (37), has a good chance of round of 16 (57), has a chance of quarter-finals (22), has a small chance of semi-finals (10), has a very small chance of final (5), has a very small chance of win world cup (2).
Uruguay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Portugal is a favorite.
There will not play in Portugal: Mendes N.
(Injury)
Pereira D.
(Broken rib)
There will not play in Uruguay: Araujo R.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Portugal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.