Match Info

Euro U21 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Štadión pod Dubňom (Žilina)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	Joyn
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV3, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Joyn
Greece	ERT 3
Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Pro Arena, Voyo
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Channel 4
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1


	Portugal U21		Netherlands U21

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.88
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.31	3.83	2.92
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.39	3.62	3.02
	2.29	3.46	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)	3.55 ↑ (3.26)	2.9 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal U21
41.1%

Draw
26.5%

Netherlands U21
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Netherlands U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Portugal U21 - Netherlands U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Portugal U21 will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Netherlands U21 will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal U21: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal U21 (votes: 2 - 50%). Netherlands U21 (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Netherlands U21 (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Netherlands U21 (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal U21 (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Netherlands U21 (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soares S. (G) Benfica 2. Pinheiro R. Famalicao 4. Lamba C. Arouca 3. Muniz J. Sporting Lisbon 13. Nazinho Cercle Brugge 7. Fernandes M. Southampton 6. Nascimento D. Vizela 8. Bernardo P. (C) Celtic 18. Sa G. Famalicao 17. Quenda G. Sporting Lisbon 11. Tomas T. Wolfsburg	16. Roefs R. (G) Nijmegen 2. Rensch D. (C) AS Roma 13. van den Berg R. Middlesbrough 4. Hato J. Ajax 5. Maatsen I. Aston Villa 3. Flamingo R. PSV 22. Valente L. Groningen 10. Taylor K. Ajax 7. Manhoef M. Stoke City 19. van Bergen T. Groningen 11. van Bommel R. AZ Alkmaar
Substitutes
9. Araujo H. Arouca 12. Carvalho J. (G) Braga 16. De Amorim M. Famalicao 15. Figueiredo L. Varzim 20. Forbs C. Wolves 23. Gomes R. Wolves 14. Marques C. Yverdon 19. Marques J. Gil Vicente 22. Pinto D. (G) Sporting Lisbon 5. Rodrigues R. AFS 10. Santos P. Moreirense	18. Banzuzi E. Leuven 14. Goes W. AZ Alkmaar 12. Kasanwirjo N. Rangers 15. Meijer B. Club Brugge 20. Milambo A. Feyenoord 9. Ohio N. Utrecht 17. Poku E. AZ Alkmaar 23. Raatsie C. (G) Excelsior 8. Salah-Eddine A. AS Roma 21. van Brederode M. Dusseldorf 1. van den Heuvel D. (G) Club Brugge
Coaches
Rui Jorge	Reiziger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', van Bommel R. 🟨,
21', van Bommel R. 🟨,
30', Rensch D. 🟨,
31', Quenda G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tomas T. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
50', Taylor K. 🟨,
53', Valente L. ↓, Meijer B. ↑,
63', Bernardo P. ↓, Forbs C. ↑,
64', Sa G. 🟨,
79', Manhoef M. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
80', Fernandes M. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
80', Sa G. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Poku E. ⚽, Maatsen I. (A),
87', Pinheiro R. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
90+2', Santos P. 🟨,
90+4', van Bergen T. ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
90+4', Roefs R. 🟨,
90+5', Forbs C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal U21 won 2.

Portugal U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portugal U21 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 2.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal U21
UEFA Euro U21
17.06.25	Georgia U21 - Portugal U21	0:4 ✺
14.06.25	Portugal U21 - Poland U21	5:0 ✺
11.06.25	Portugal U21 - France U21	0:0 ✺
Friendly
24.03.25	England U21 - Portugal U21	4:2 ✺
21.03.25	Portugal U21 - Romania U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLL
- Netherlands U21
UEFA Euro U21
18.06.25	Netherlands U21 - Ukraine U21	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Netherlands U21 - Denmark U21	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	Finland U21 - Netherlands U21	2:2 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Netherlands U21 - Ivory Coast U23	3:0 ✺
25.03.25	Romania U21 - Netherlands U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
24.06.23	Portugal U21 - Netherlands U21	1:1
18.11.20	Portugal U21 - Netherlands U21	2:1
11.10.19	Netherlands U21 - Portugal U21	4:2
Friendly
15.11.16	Netherlands U21 - Portugal U21	1:1
UEFA Euro U21
14.10.14	Portugal U21 - Netherlands U21	5:4
09.10.14	Netherlands U21 - Portugal U21	0:2

Portugal U21 - Netherlands U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide