Match Info

Friendly International Women

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Portugal U23 W		Italy U23 W

	1	X	2
	3.07	3.62	2.11
	3.08	3.86	2.06
	2.9	3.3	2.05
	3	3.6	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.95)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal U23 W
30.3%

Draw
25.4%

Italy U23 W
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal U23 W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Italy U23 W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Portugal U23 W - Italy U23 W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Arrigoni G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Pellegrino C. G. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Ferreira M. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Italy U23 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portugal U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal U23 W
Friendly International Women
27.11.25	Portugal U23 W - Germany U23 W	3:1 ✺
27.10.25	England U23 W - Portugal U23 W	1:1 ✺
23.10.25	Portugal U23 W - France U23 W	0:0 ✺
03.04.25	France U23 W - Portugal U23 W	4:0 ✺
24.02.25	Portugal U23 W - Finland U23 W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WTTLT
- Italy U23 W
Friendly International Women
27.11.25	Sweden U23 W - Italy U23 W	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Italy U23 W - Scotland U23 W	1:3 ✺
23.10.25	Netherlands U23 W - Italy U23 W	2:2 ✺
02.06.25	Italy U23 W - Sweden U23 W	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Italy U23 W - Netherlands U23 W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
26.02.24	Portugal U23 W - Italy U23 W	3:3
10.11.22	Italy U23 W - Portugal U23 W	1:0

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