Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 8

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.85	3.15	3.9
	1.77	3.06	3.91
	1.99	2.98	4.04	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)	3.86 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
47.5%

Draw
29.1%

São Caetano
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

São Caetano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Portuguesa Santista is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa Santista won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Copa Paulista
28.07.25	Osasco Sporting - Portuguesa Santista	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Portuguesa Santista - São José-SP	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Taubaté - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	São Caetano - Portuguesa Santista	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTTW
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.07.25	São José-SP - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	São Caetano - Osasco Sporting	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	São Caetano - Taubaté	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Santo André - São Caetano	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	São Caetano - Portuguesa Santista	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
28.06.25	São Caetano - Portuguesa Santista	0:2
13.08.23	Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano	1:0
07.07.23	São Caetano - Portuguesa Santista	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.01.23	Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano	3:0
29.01.22	São Caetano - Portuguesa Santista	0:0
15.03.20	Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano	1:3

Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide