Match Info

BRAZIL: Potiguar - First stage - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Potiguar		Santa Cruz de Natal

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.65
	2.66	2.95	2.56
	2.58	3.12	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.53	3.3	2.7
	2.6	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.55)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)	2.63 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potiguar
35.3%

Draw
29.9%

Santa Cruz de Natal
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

25.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potiguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Potiguar - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Potiguar won 2.

Recent matches Potiguar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz de Natal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Cruz de Natal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Potiguar won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:29 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Potiguar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD Potiguar
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
15.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Potiguar - Globo FC	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Potiguar - América RN	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Laguna - Potiguar	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Potiguar - Baraúnas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW
- Santa Cruz de Natal
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
15.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Laguna	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Globo FC - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
15.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:0
11.01.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	0:2
Brazilian Serie D
26.06.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:2
26.05.24	Potiguar - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
09.03.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:3
12.04.23	Potiguar - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:1
27.03.23	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	3:1

Potiguar - Santa Cruz de Natal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide