Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday


	Poza Rica		Pachuca 2

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.7	2.95
	2.12	3.43	2.82
	2.14	3.58	2.93	Watch
	2.14	3.42	2.95
	2.04	3.7	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.4)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poza Rica
43.4%

Draw
25.5%

Pachuca 2
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poza Rica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poza Rica's performance.

Pachuca 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poza Rica than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poza Rica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca 2 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poza Rica - Pachuca 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Poza Rica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pachuca 2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pachuca 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Poza Rica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Poza Rica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Poza Rica
Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
15.11.24	CDM - Poza Rica	1:4 ✺
08.11.24	Poza Rica - Ciervos	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Artesanos Metepec - Poza Rica	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Real Zamora - Poza Rica	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Poza Rica - Santiago	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWLLT
- Pachuca 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
15.11.24	Pachuca 2 - Real Zamora	4:2 ✺
01.11.24	Pachuca 2 - Huracanes Izcalli	5:1 ✺
25.10.24	Cordobés - Pachuca 2	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Pachuca 2 - Ayense	5:1 ✺
13.10.24	Caja Oblatos - Pachuca 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
01.03.24	Poza Rica - Pachuca 2	1:0
30.09.23	Pachuca 2 - Poza Rica	2:0

Poza Rica - Pachuca 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide