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Current Win Probability
Pozuelo de Alarcón 42.2%
Draw 28.7%
México 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.5%
28.9%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
26.9%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Pozuelo de Alarcón - México Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
73', 3 - 2, ⚽,
78', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 12th and 14th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
México could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Pozuelo de Alarcón has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Pozuelo de Alarcón has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pozuelo de Alarcón against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.