Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Prachuap		Samut Prakan City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.35
	2.48	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.32	3.2	2.75
	2.41	3.31	2.88
	2.35	3.2	2.75
	2.38	3.52	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.5)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.65 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prachuap
38.1%

Draw
27.4%

Samut Prakan City
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

19.3%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prachuap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Samut Prakan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prachuap than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prachuap that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samut Prakan City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Prachuap - Samut Prakan City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 8).

Prachuap is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Samut Prakan City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Prachuap could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Prachuap have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Prachuap won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Prachuap won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prachuap FC
Thai League 1
06.10.21	Bangkok United - Prachuap	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Prachuap - Buriram United	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Chiangrai United - Prachuap	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Suphanburi - Prachuap	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Khonkaen United - Prachuap	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWTL
- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
06.10.21	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Samut Prakan City - Chiangmai United	1:3 ✺
26.09.21	Police Tero - Samut Prakan City	1:1 ✺
17.09.21	Samut Prakan City - Bangkok United	3:1 ✺
12.09.21	Nongbua Pitchaya - Samut Prakan City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
21.02.21	Samut Prakan City - Prachuap	4:0
27.09.20	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	0:3
24.08.19	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	2:0
18.05.19	Samut Prakan City - Prachuap	1:1

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