Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Praiense		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.7
	1.75	3.45	3.8
	1.93	3.2	3.6
	2.01	3.34	3.85
	2.12	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.46)	3.3 ↓ (4.06)	3.65 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Praiense
47.1%

Draw
27.8%

Montijo
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

13.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Praiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Praiense's form might have worsened.

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montijo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Praiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

Praiense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montijo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Montijo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Praiense have a series of guest games.

Praiense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Praiense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Praiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.11.20	Sporting Ideal - Praiense	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	Rabo de Peixe - Praiense	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Praiense - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Praiense	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
27.09.20	Pero Pinheiro - Praiense	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTTLL
- Olímpico do Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.11.20	Montijo - Chinato	3:0 ✺
08.11.20	Lobón - Montijo	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.11.20	Fabril do Barreiro - Montijo	2:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.11.20	Montijo - Campanario	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.20	Tirsense - Montijo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.04.19	Praiense - Montijo	3:1
09.12.18	Montijo - Praiense	0:2

Praiense - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide