Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Prato		Forlì

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.47
	6.4	3.3	1.57
	6.92	2.86	1.63
	6.83	2.98	1.65
	6.62	3.1	1.6
	6.4	3.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.49 ↑ (5.73)	3.22 ↓ (3.75)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
14.1%

Draw
28.3%

Forlì
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

24.5%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prato than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Prato - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Macri D. ⚽,
3', 0 - 2, Farinelli N. ⚽,
8', 0 - 3, Campagna F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 4, Trombetta M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prato won 0.

Prato is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forlì is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Forlì could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Prato have a series of home games.

In this match Forlì is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Prato won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Prato won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.02.25	Prato - San Marino Calcio	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Prato - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Tuttocuoio - Prato	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Prato - Sasso Marconi	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Prato - Sammaurese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWTW
- Forli FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.03.25	Forlì - Progresso	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Lentigione - Forlì	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Forlì - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Forlì - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Corticella - Forlì	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
03.11.24	Forlì - Prato	2:0
03.03.24	Forlì - Prato	3:1
28.10.23	Prato - Forlì	2:2
22.01.23	Prato - Forlì	0:0
17.09.22	Forlì - Prato	2:2
13.03.22	Forlì - Prato	0:2
30.10.21	Prato - Forlì	1:0

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