Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 19

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Prato		Scandicci

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.25
	1.99	3.61	3.06
	1.91	3.1	3.5
	1.92	3.42	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.59)	3.36 ↓ (3.73)	3.33 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
46.3%

Draw
26.7%

Scandicci
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Prato's form might have worsened.

Scandicci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scandicci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prato than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scandicci than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scandicci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Prato is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Scandicci is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Scandicci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Prato is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Prato won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Prato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.12.22	Aglianese - Prato	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Prato - Crema	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Seravezza Pozzi - Prato	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.12.22	United Riccione - Prato	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Prato - Lentigione	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWW
- Scandicci Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.22	Scandicci - Salsomaggiore	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Pistoiese - Scandicci	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Scandicci - Mezzolara	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	AC Carpi - Scandicci	5:1 ✺
20.11.22	Scandicci - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
17.02.19	Scandicci - Prato	1:1
28.10.18	Prato - Scandicci	2:1

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