Match Info

Date: 5 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Prespa Birlik		Balkan

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Prespa Birlik
26.7%

Draw
25.8%

Balkan
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

22.5%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

17.1%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prespa Birlik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Balkan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prespa Birlik than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balkan than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Balkan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Prespa Birlik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Balkan is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Balkan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Balkan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSF Prespa Birlik
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
29.08.21	Karlshamn - Prespa Birlik	0:0 ✺
25.08.21	Prespa Birlik - Sölvesborg	4:2 ✺
22.08.21	Olympic - Prespa Birlik	5:0 ✺
07.08.21	Prespa Birlik - Karlskrona	3:1 ✺
04.08.21	IFK Hässleholm - Prespa Birlik	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWLWL
- FBK Balkan
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
28.08.21	Balkan - Kristianstad	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Balkan - Räppe GoIF	1:0 ✺
07.08.21	Asarum - Balkan	1:4 ✺
04.08.21	Olympic - Balkan	0:0 ✺
31.07.21	Karlshamn - Balkan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWWTW

Prespa Birlik - Balkan