Match Info

Girabola - Round 26

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Primeiro de Maio		Guelson

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.45
	1.76	3.34	4.54	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.5
	1.74	3.3	4.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	4.5 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primeiro de Maio
52.2%

Draw
27.6%

Guelson
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

28.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primeiro de Maio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Guelson have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primeiro de Maio than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelson than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Primeiro de Maio - Guelson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Primeiro de Maio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guelson is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Primeiro de Maio is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Primeiro de Maio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	Primeiro de Maio	8	2	2	4	9:12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela Clube Primeiro de Maio
Angolan Girabola
26.04.26	Primeiro de Maio - Redonda	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Luanda City - Primeiro de Maio	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Interclube - Primeiro de Maio	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Primeiro de Maio - Libolo	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Primeiro de Maio - Primeiro de Agosto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLTT
- Guelson FC
Angolan Girabola
26.04.26	Guelson - Lunda Sul	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Redonda - Guelson	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Guelson - Interclube	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Libolo - Guelson	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Guelson - São Salvador	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Angolan Girabola
16.01.26	Guelson - Primeiro de Maio	1:2

Primeiro de Maio - Guelson