Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	Primorje		Šmartno

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	5
	1.4	5	5
	1.42	4.6	5.2
	1.48	4.65	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.81 ↑ (4.5)	5.08 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primorje
63.4%

Draw
18.8%

Šmartno
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

12.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primorje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Šmartno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Primorje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šmartno than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Šmartno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Primorje - Šmartno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 13).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Primorje is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Primorje
Slovenian 2 SNL
16.09.20	Bilje - Primorje	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Primorje - Krka	0:3 ✺
05.09.20	Beltinci - Primorje	5:1 ✺
29.08.20	Primorje - Fužinar Ravne	1:1 ✺
22.08.20	Primorje - Krško	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLTT
- NK Šmartno
Slovenian 2 SNL
16.09.20	Šmartno - Nafta	0:10 ✺
12.09.20	Drava Ptuj - Šmartno	1:3 ✺
06.09.20	Šmartno - Brda Dobrovo	1:2 ✺
29.08.20	Triglav - Šmartno	3:0 ✺
23.08.20	Šmartno - Rudar Pljevlja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLLL

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