Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pro Livorno Sorgenti		Cannara

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Pro Livorno Sorgenti
34.2%

Draw
29.1%

Cannara
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.3%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Livorno Sorgenti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cannara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Livorno Sorgenti than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Livorno Sorgenti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cannara than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cannara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Pro Livorno has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cannara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Pro Livorno have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Livorno Sorgenti
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.01.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	3:2 ✺
23.01.22	Pianese - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	4:1 ✺
22.12.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Scandicci	1:2 ✺
19.12.21	Poggibonsi - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- ASD Cannara
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.01.22	Cannara - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Cannara - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
19.01.22	Tiferno Lerchi - Cannara	2:1 ✺
18.12.21	Cannara - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Foligno - Cannara	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Cannara