Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Progresso		Athletic Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2.05
	3	3.25	2.1
	3	3.25	2.13
	2.93	3.04	2.08
	3.06	3.38	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
30%

Draw
27.4%

Athletic Carpi
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

19.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Athletic Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Progresso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Carpi than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Progresso - Athletic Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Progresso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Athletic Carpi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.10.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Progresso	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Progresso - Alcione	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Rimini - Progresso	4:0 ✺
06.10.21	Progresso - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Aglianese - Progresso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLWL
- Athletic Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.10.21	Athletic Carpi - Borgo San Donnino	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tritium - Athletic Carpi	3:3 ✺
10.10.21	Athletic Carpi - Sammaurese	4:1 ✺
06.10.21	Prato - Athletic Carpi	3:2 ✺
03.10.21	Athletic Carpi - Forlì	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWLT

Progresso - Athletic Carpi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Progresso - Athletic Carpi Predictions

Preview

Form

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