Match Info

Date: 23 May 2022, Monday


	Progresso do Sambizanga		Lunda Sul

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.95	2.9	1.95
	3.8	2.91	1.93
	4.5	3	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (1.9)	2.93 ↑ (2.87)	1.97 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso do Sambizanga
23%

Draw
30.9%

Lunda Sul
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

34.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso do Sambizanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progresso do Sambizanga's form might have worsened.

Lunda Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lunda Sul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso do Sambizanga than the current prediction. (+28.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progresso do Sambizanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunda Sul than the current prediction. (-24.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lunda Sul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Progresso do Sambizanga - Lunda Sul Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Progresso will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Lunda Sul will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lunda Sul: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Progresso has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lunda Sul is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Progresso will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progresso do Sambizanga
Angolan Girabola
08.05.22	Primeiro de Agosto - Progresso do Sambizanga	5:0 ✺
23.04.22	Progresso do Sambizanga - Caála	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Cuando Cubango - Progresso do Sambizanga	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Progresso do Sambizanga - Interclube	0:3 ✺
06.04.22	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Progresso do Sambizanga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLLLT
- CD Lunda Sul
Angolan Girabola
07.05.22	Lunda Sul - Wiliete	2:2 ✺
24.04.22	Bravos do Maquis - Lunda Sul	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Lunda Sul - Desportivo da Huíla	2:1 ✺
13.04.22	Lunda Sul - Primeiro de Agosto	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Kabuscorp - Lunda Sul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWLW

Progresso do Sambizanga - Lunda Sul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide