Match Info

Liga 3 - Seria 4 - Round 13

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Progresul Mogoșoaia		Flacăra Moreni

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.05	1.6
	4.77	4.21	1.55	Watch
	4.87	4.05	1.54
	4	4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.27)	4.08 ↑ (4)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresul Mogoșoaia
20.2%

Draw
22.2%

Flacăra Moreni
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

22.7%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

22.5%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresul Mogoșoaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Flacăra Moreni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresul Mogoșoaia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flacăra Moreni than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Progresul Mogoșoaia - Flacăra Moreni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 ~ Seria 4 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion Group: )).

Mogoșoaia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flacăra Moreni is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Flacăra Moreni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flacăra Moreni is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progresul Mogoșoaia
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
07.11.25	Kids Tâmpa Brașov - Progresul Mogoșoaia	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Progresul Mogoșoaia - CSM Săcele	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Progresul Mogoșoaia - Băicoi	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ștefănești - Progresul Mogoșoaia	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Progresul Mogoșoaia - Voinţa Crevedia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLW
- CSM Flacăra Moreni
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
07.11.25	Flacăra Moreni - Pucioasa	5:2 ✺
31.10.25	Flacăra Moreni - Tricolorul Breaza	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Kids Tâmpa Brașov - Flacăra Moreni	2:3 ✺
10.10.25	Flacăra Moreni - Urban Titu	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	CSM Săcele - Flacăra Moreni	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

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