The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Provincial Osorno 70.6%
Draw 17.6%
Deportes Rengo 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.4%
20.7%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.5%
19.5%
12.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Deportes Rengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Rengo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Provincial Osorno - Deportes Rengo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Retamal D. (G) 9. Bielkiewicz D. (C) 20. Castro G. 22. Cortez M. 7. Escobar F. 8. Gutierrez J. 23. Lauler G. 29. Meneses L. 19. Moreno A. 33. Sanguinetti F. 2. Yanez V.
12. Lecaros C. (G) 18. Amaya J. 6. Basaure N. 4. Herrera J. 24. Meneses M. 3. Navarrete E. (C) 8. Quezada M. 10. Recabal M. 16. Saavedra B. 26. Umana M. 11. Vega Arrieta Z. D.
Substitutes
11. Antilef E. 21. Bogmis J. 26. Cortez B. 28. Gonzalez D. 18. Lara D. (G) 6. Pacheco I. 16. Vergara D.
5. Basualto J. 7. Campos B. 27. Diaz J. 9. Fierro L. 22. Ramirez B. 14. Rivera F. 25. Vergara L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Castro G. 🟨,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Umana M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
62', Recabal M. ↓, Rivera F. ↑,
64', Diaz J. 🟨,
69', Moreno A. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
69', Castro G. ↓, Pacheco I. ↑,
76', Amaya J. ↓, Basualto J. ↑,
83', Quezada M. 🟨,
84', Vega Arrieta Z. D. ↓, Fierro L. ↑,
85', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
85', Escobar F. ↓, Bogmis J. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', Lauler G. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provincial Osorno won 3.
Provincial Osorno has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rengo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Provincial Osorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Provincial Osorno is the clear favorite.
We predict that Provincial Osorno will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Provincial Osorno won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Provincial Osorno won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).