The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla 34.4%
Draw 25.5%
Querétaro 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
26.7%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
26%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla's form might have worsened.
Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Querétaro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Querétaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puebla - Querétaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Masciarelli R. O. (C) 8. Sanchez A. 3. Martinez L. 2. Peraza M. 4. Diaz Y. 10. Herrera L. 24. Collado N. 22. Micheels B. 6. Lopez A. 7. Nakano A. 14. Lopez A.
12. Morales K. (G) 3. Limon M. 16. George A. 2. Martinez S. (C) 4. Rosales Miranda F. 25. Bailey J. 17. Lunyamila E. 10. Chanda G. 5. Lopez A. 7. Heredia-Beltran D. 9. Cecena S.
Substitutes
11. Dominguez Z. 66. Flores A. 16. Martinez D. 27. Moron V. 23. Nalukenge J. 13. Osorio H. 19. Perez X. (G) 20. Salmoran D. 25. Suarez P. 9. Terrell K.
6. Barone F. 22. Carmona E. 20. Diaz X. (G) 30. Espinosa L. 18. Grant G. 11. Grimaldo N. 21. Plata J. 50. Ramirez F.
Coaches
Duron J.
Conti P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
23', Cecena S. 🟨,
31', Diaz Y. 🟨,
34', Martinez L. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Martinez S. ⚽, Cecena S. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Lunyamila E. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
45+3', 0 - 3, Lunyamila E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Nakano A. ↓, Nalukenge J. ↑,
46', Collado N. ↓, Terrell K. ↑,
46', Cecena S. ↓, Grant G. ↑,
60', 1 - 3, Diaz Y. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
62', 1 - 4, Heredia-Beltran D. ⚽,
65', Heredia-Beltran D. ↓, Grimaldo N. ↑,
65', Limon M. ↓, Barone F. ↑,
69', 2 - 4, Herrera L. ⚽, Nalukenge J. (A),
72', 2 - 5, Terrell K. (Own goal),
76', 2 - 6, Barone F. ⚽, Grant G. (A),
80', Lopez A. ↓, Ramirez F. ↑,
81', Lunyamila E. ↓, Plata J. ↑,
81', Micheels B. ↓, Dominguez Z. ↑,
81', Martinez L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Querétaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:0.9).
Watch
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Masciarelli R. O. (C) 
Sanchez A. 
Peraza M. 
Lopez A. 
Nakano A. 
Lopez A. 
Bailey J. 
Lunyamila E. 
Chanda G. 
Nalukenge J. 
Barone F. 
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