Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Puebla U20		Necaxa U20

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.6	3.3	2.23
	2.75	3.35	2.13
	2.42	3.97	2.24
	2.8	3.25	2.15
	2.71	3.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.39)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	2.19 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla U20
33.7%

Draw
25.6%

Necaxa U20
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla U20's form might have worsened.

Necaxa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Necaxa U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla U20 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa U20 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Necaxa U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Puebla U20 - Necaxa U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Puebla U20 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Necaxa U20 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Necaxa U20: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U20 (Apertura ~ Play Offs) and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Necaxa U20 have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Puebla U20 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Puebla U20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
10.09.22	Chivas Guadalajara U20 - Puebla U20	1:1 ✺
07.09.22	Puebla U20 - Pachuca U20	1:2 ✺
01.09.22	Querétaro U20 - Puebla U20	0:2 ✺
26.08.22	Puebla U20 - Juárez U20	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Atlas U20 - Puebla U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWL
- Necaxa U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
10.09.22	Necaxa U20 - Club América U20	1:2 ✺
06.09.22	Santos Laguna U20 - Necaxa U20	3:2 ✺
02.09.22	Necaxa U20 - Club León U20	2:2 ✺
19.08.22	Necaxa U20 - Chivas Guadalajara U20	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Necaxa U20 - Monterrey U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U20
22.04.22	Puebla U20 - Necaxa U20	1:3
15.10.21	Necaxa U20 - Puebla U20	1:1

Puebla U20 - Necaxa U20