Match Info

Primera C - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Puerto Nuevo		Juventud Unida de San Miguel

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.72	2.25
	3.5	2.8	2.13
	3.35	2.79	2.3	Watch
	3.5	2.63	2.25
	3.9	3.06	2.06
	2.55	2.82	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.59)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)	2.29 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
27.3%

Draw
32.7%

Juventud Unida de San Miguel
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

30.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.

Juventud Unida de San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud Unida de San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud Unida de San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Peiro M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', Peiro M. 🟥,
66', 1 - 1, Pena N. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Gimenez F. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Escobar M. ⚽,
90+4', Martinez R. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 2.

Puerto Nuevo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventud Unida's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Puerto Nuevo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
29.03.26	Puerto Nuevo - Argentino de Rosario	1:1 ✺
23.03.26	Fénix - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Estrella del Sur - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Puerto Nuevo - Berazategui	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Victoriano Arenas - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TTTLW
- Juventud Unida de San Miguel
Argentinian Primera C
05.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lugano - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
17.11.24	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Puerto Nuevo	4:0
16.06.24	Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1
Argentinian Primera D
26.09.21	Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1
17.05.21	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Puerto Nuevo	2:3
13.12.20	Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:0
19.02.20	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Puerto Nuevo	1:2
15.09.19	Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	3:1

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