Match Info

NB I Women - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Puskás Academy		MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.50
	1.74	3.70	3.50
	1.65	3.99	3.90
	1.8	3.93	3.52	Watch
	1.63	3.95	3.85
	1.84	3.88	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.1)	3.87 ↑ (3.35)	3.64 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puskás Academy
51.9%

Draw
23.3%

MTK Budapest
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puskás Academy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puskás Academy's performance.

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MTK Budapest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puskás Academy than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puskás Academy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MTK Budapest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puskás Academy - MTK Budapest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - NB I Women (Placement Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - NB I Women (Championship Group: )).

In recent outings, Puskás Academy has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

MTK is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

MTK may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Puskás Academy holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Puskas Academy W	12	8	2	2	58:14	44	26
5	MTK Budapest W	12	7	3	2	20:6	14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puskás Academy Women
Hungarian NB I Women
19.09.26	Puskás Academy - Videoton	17:0 ✺
16.09.26	Honved - Puskás Academy	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Astra Hungary - Puskás Academy	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Puskás Academy - Ujpest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTT
- MTK Budapest Women
Hungarian Cup Women
03.10.26	MTK Budapest - Szent Mihály	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I Women
26.09.26	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri VTK	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ferencvárosi - MTK Budapest	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	MTK Budapest - Ujpest	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Győr - MTK Budapest	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW

Puskás Academy - MTK Budapest