The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pápai Perutz 23.3%
Draw 24.4%
Győri ETO II 52.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
23%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
22%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pápai Perutz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pápai Perutz's form might have worsened.
Győri ETO II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Győri ETO II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pápai Perutz than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pápai Perutz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Győri ETO II than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Pápai Perutz - Győri ETO II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 8th).
Pápai Perutz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Győri ETO II has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Győri ETO II may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Győri ETO II is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Pápai Perutz has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:2 (averaging 2.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pápai Perutz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.