The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pérolas Negras 77.3%
Draw 14.8%
Alagoana 7.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.8%
18.5%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.4%
17.4%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pérolas Negras's performance.
Alagoana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alagoana than the current prediction. (+3%)
Pérolas Negras - Alagoana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 🟥,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A3 Women).
Pérolas Negras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alagoana is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Pérolas Negras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Pérolas Negras is the undisputed favorite.