Match Info

2. liga - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mestský štadión Púchov (Púchov)


	Púchov		Šamorín

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.8	3.7	3.5
	1.42	4.85	6.22
	1.26	5.56	9.39	Watch
	1.86	3.52	3.61
	2	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)	4.12 ↑ (3.5)	4.94 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Púchov
57%

Draw
23.4%

Šamorín
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Púchov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Púchov's performance.

Šamorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Šamorín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Púchov than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Púchov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šamorín than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Šamorín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Púchov - Šamorín Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Šamorín (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Šamorín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Vavrus S. (G) 23. Kapus N. 13. Kopicar A. 12. Marcanik S. 16. Martinek N. 4. Mosko M. 14. Mraz P. (C) 20. Poboril R. 5. Rapavy D. 3. Stranak D. 6. Tandara M.	1. Chropovsky M. (G) 4. Avetisyan A. 18. Boledovic M. 21. Castellano O. 20. Csorba N. 10. Fellipe Vieira 11. Garcia I. T. 15. Maric-Bjekic D. (C) 7. Pavuk D. 13. Prekop D. 6. Zahradnik Z.
Substitutes
1. Barninec A. (G) 2. Brunner J. 17. Cmelo J. 15. Lacko P. 19. Loduha M. 10. Mojzis A. 18. Obsivan M. 30. Vavrik J. (G)	30. Ballack 27. Beugre A. 12. Horvath A. (G) 22. Kucman M. 23. Rovis M. 14. Seraphin U. 16. Varga P. 5. Varga S. 26. Weber M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Stranak D. ⚽,
14', Maric-Bjekic D. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Zahradnik Z. ⚽,
33', Prekop D. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Rapavy D. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Pavuk D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Zahradnik Z. 🟨,
56', Mraz P. ↓, Lacko P. ↑,
56', Rapavy D. ↓, Loduha M. ↑,
62', Zahradnik Z. ↓, Rovis M. ↑,
62', Pavuk D. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
83', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Varga S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Púchov won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Púchov might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Púchov won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Púchov won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MŠK Púchov
Slovak 2 Liga
17.08.25	Žilina B - Púchov	5:2 ✺
09.08.25	Púchov - Zvolen	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Dynamo Malženice - Púchov	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Púchov - Slovan Bratislava II	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Trenčín - Púchov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTT
- ŠTK 1914 Šamorín
Slovak 2 Liga
16.08.25	Šamorín - Pohronie	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Stará Ľubovňa - Šamorín	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Šamorín - Slávia TU Košice	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Šamorín - Žilina B	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Vasas - Šamorín	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 2 Liga
06.04.25	Šamorín - Púchov	1:1
12.10.24	Púchov - Šamorín	3:1
18.11.23	Púchov - Šamorín	1:6
06.08.23	Šamorín - Púchov	2:5
12.05.23	Šamorín - Púchov	3:2
Slovak Cup
09.11.22	Šamorín - Púchov	2:1 penalties
Slovak 2 Liga
22.10.22	Púchov - Šamorín	0:1

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