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Current Win Probability
Qatar 16.9%
Draw 26.9%
Senegal 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
29.5%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qatar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qatar's form might have worsened.
Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Senegal's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.4%
5.7%
88.9%
Qatar - Senegal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Senegal will win
(498 of 560 users predict this - 88.93%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.33% – 91.53%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Qatar has a very small chance of 1st place (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd place (4%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of quarter-finals (1%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
Senegal has a very small chance of 1st place (2%), has a chance of 2nd place (24%), has a chance of round of 16 (27%), has a small chance of quarter-finals (11%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (4%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
Qatar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).