Match Info

Asian Games - Round 1

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Paloma Mizuho Stadium (Nagoya)


	Qatar U23		South Korea U23

	1	X	2
	19.00	7.50	1.11
	14.50	7.75	1.12
	13.00	7.50	1.12
	20.66	8.45	1.12
	19.64	7.14	1.14
	19.00	8.30	1.07
	13.50	7.90	1.09	Watch
	16.00	7.00	1.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.91 ↑ (13)	7.69 ↑ (5)	1.11 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qatar U23
5.4%

Draw
11.9%

South Korea U23
82.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

6.9%

18%

75.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qatar U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

South Korea U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Korea U23's recent form is better than expected.

Qatar U23 - South Korea U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Korea U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osman A. (G) Al-Sadd 23. Al-Hausawi A. 4. Alnizami Y. CD Calahorra 11. Chakeri M. CD Calahorra 6. Fadi Z. Lusail 16. Faragalla M. CD Calahorra 9. Gouda M. (C) Al Arabi (Qatar) 2. Magdi A. 5. Shahabi A. Al Ahli 15. Shtiewi Z. 8. Taha M. CD Calahorra	1. Kim J. (G) Suwon Bluewings 22. Bae Hyun-Seo Gyeongnam 10. Bae Jun-Ho Stoke City 16. Choi Seok-Hyun Ulsan Hyundai 7. Eom Ji-Sung Swansea 5. Kim Ji-Soo Brentford 18. Kim M. Genk 6. Lee Gi-Hyuk (C) Gangwon 8. Lee Seung-Won Gangwon 23. Shin Min-Ha Gangwon 11. Yang Hyun-Jun Celtic
Substitutes
14. Al Hamad J. CD Calahorra 7. Al Minhali G. Al Ahli 13. Al Mukahal F. Al-Sadd 18. Al Qadi T. Al-Sadd 3. Al-Rawi Q. 20. Al Yahri N. 17. Babiker N. 10. Eid B. Al-Sadd 22. El Sharkawy G. (G) Al-Duhail 19. Jarrar Y. Al-Sadd 21. Lingliz M. (G) Al Ahli	3. Choi Woo-Jin Jeonbuk 15. Hwang Do-Yun Seoul 2. Kang Min-Jun Pohang 13. Kang Sang-Yoon Jeonbuk 12. Kim Min-seung (G) Paju Frontier 14. Lee Hyun-ju Arouca 21. Lee Seung-Hwan (G) Cheongju 9. Lee Young-Jun Grasshoppers 20. Park Kyung-sub Incheon 4. Park Seong-hun Seoul 19. Park Seung-soo Newcastle Utd 17. Yang Min-Hyuk Westerlo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Eom Ji-Sung ⚽, Kim Ji-Soo (A),
20', 0 - 2, Eom Ji-Sung ⚽,
22', Shahabi A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Eom Ji-Sung ⚽, Lee Seung-Won (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Alnizami Y. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
59', Chakeri M. ↓, Al Yahri N. ↑,
59', Fadi Z. ↓, Eid B. ↑,
59', Gouda M. ↓, Al Hamad J. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Kim M. ⚽, Yang Hyun-Jun (A),
70', Al-Hausawi A. ↓, Al-Rawi Q. ↑,
72', Eid B. 🟨,
72', Bae Jun-Ho ↓, Lee Hyun-ju ↑,
72', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Kang Sang-Yoon ↑,
72', Kim M. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
77', Shtiewi Z. ↓, Al Minhali G. ↑,
80', Kim Ji-Soo 🟨,
84', Eom Ji-Sung 🟨,
85', 1 - 4, Hassan M. ⚽,
88', Eom Ji-Sung ↓, Park Seung-soo ↑,
90+4', Bae Hyun-Seo ↓, Choi Woo-Jin ↑,

Preview

Qatar U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, South Korea U23 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qatar U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qatar U23
Qatar QSL 2
06.09.26	Al-Waab - Qatar U23	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Al Bidda - Qatar U23	2:0 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Ireland U21 - Qatar U23	0:0 ✺
03.06.26	Croatia U21 - Qatar U23	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Qatar U23 - Oman U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTLL
- South Korea U23
Friendly
06.06.26	Thailand U23 - South Korea U23	2:3 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
23.01.26	Vietnam U23 - South Korea U23	3:2 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Australia U23 - South Korea U23	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Uzbekistan U23 - South Korea U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Asian Cup U23
06.09.23	South Korea U23 - Qatar U23	0:2
26.01.18	Qatar U23 - South Korea U23	1:0
26.01.16	Qatar U23 - South Korea U23	1:3

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