Match Info

Date: 8 January 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Qena		El Alameen

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Qena
37.6%

Draw
30.4%

El Alameen
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

El Alameen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qena than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Alameen than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Alameen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Qena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches El Alameen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Alameen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently El Alameen have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qena SC
Egyptian Division 2 - Group A
25.12.21	Qena - Aluminium Nag Hammâdi	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Fayoum - Qena	1:0 ✺
11.12.21	Qena - Dayrout	0:2 ✺
20.11.21	Qena - Asyut Petroleum	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Beni Suef - Qena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLLTT
- El Alameen SC
Egyptian Division 2 - Group A
01.01.22	El Alameen - Telephonaat Beni Suef	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	El Alameen - Al-Minya	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	El Alameen - El Madina El Monowara	0:3 ✺
20.11.21	El Alameen - KIMA Aswan	0:0 ✺
13.11.21	Aluminium Nag Hammâdi - El Alameen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTL

Qena - El Alameen