Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi (Navoiy)

Referee: Nazhafaliev A. (Uzb)


	Qizilqum		Buxoro

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.87	2.75
	2.42	2.82	2.80
	2.59	3.05	2.91
	2.81	2.87	2.61	Watch
	2.50	2.80	2.80
	2.61	2.93	2.89
	2.46	2.90	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.63)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	2.8 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qizilqum
35.9%

Draw
31.5%

Buxoro
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qizilqum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxoro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qizilqum - Buxoro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakhmatov F. (G) 20. Bozorov B. 40. Nematkhonov N. 15. Kumburovic N. 77. Rahmatilloyev D. 8. Rakhmatullaev S. 9. Turopov S. 31. Jigauri J. 7. Jumankuziev F. 88. Jurakuziev O. 47. Roziev R.	12. Khamroev U. (G) 42. Todorov K. 4. Akhmadjonov N. 7. Mukhtorov K. 97. Jurabekov S. 21. Ruziev K. 25. Esanov S. 8. Juraev A. 78. Rodic V. 10. Ubaydullaev S. 11. Mamasidikov T.
Substitutes
18. Abdugafforov A. 33. Ergashev O. 10. Kenzhaboev I. 70. Maykon Douglas 14. Otakulov E. 97. Paparyga R. 99. Sayyotov K. (G) 23. Shukurillaev S. 4. Vakhobov I.	1. Abdullaev S. (G) 88. Begic D. 22. Joraboev A. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 30. Mladjovic B. 18. Rajabov O. 19. Umarov A. 27. Yuldoshev M.
Coaches
Saidov J.	Khomyakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Ubaydullaev S. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Mukhtorov K. (Own goal),
45+2', Rakhmatullaev S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 0, Jigauri J. ⚽, Roziev R. (A),
59', Rahmatilloyev D. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Jurakuziev O. ⚽,
71', Ruziev K. ↓, Joraboev A. ↑,
71', Jurabekov S. ↓, Yuldoshev M. ↑,
72', Bozorov B. ↓, Shukurillaev S. ↑,
72', Roziev R. ↓, Abdugafforov A. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Esanov S. ⚽, Yuldoshev M. (A),
77', 3 - 2, Kacharava N. ⚽,
79', Turopov S. ↓, Maykon Douglas ↑,
79', Jurakuziev O. ↓, Paparyga R. ↑,
87', Juraev A. 🟥,
88', Rodic V. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
88', Rakhmatullaev S. ↓, Otakulov E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 1.

Qizilqum has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buxoro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	3	34
10	Qizilqum	22	9	2	11	23:30	-7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qizilqum PFK
Uzbek League
26.08.26	Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
18.08.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Qizilqum	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Qizilqum - Mashal Mubarek	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum	5:0 ✺
02.08.26	Qizilqum - Bunyodkor	3:0 AWA. ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW
- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
24.08.26	Kokand 1912 - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	4:1 ✺
13.08.26	Buxoro - AGMK	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Pakhtakor - Buxoro	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Buxoro - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
09.04.26	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0
08.08.25	Qizilqum - Buxoro	1:0
14.03.25	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0
05.08.23	Buxoro - Qizilqum	1:0
19.11.20	Buxoro - Qizilqum	1:1
18.08.20	Qizilqum - Buxoro	1:0
23.11.19	Qizilqum - Buxoro	1:1

Qizilqum - Buxoro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide