Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Queens University Belfast		Moyola Park

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.90	4.33
	1.6	3.95	4.4
	1.69	4.37	3.4
	1.67	4.32	3.89	Watch
	1.67	4.3	3.35
	1.6	4.16	4.94
	1.59	3.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	4.14 ↓ (4.36)	4.07 ↓ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens University Belfast
55.8%

Draw
22%

Moyola Park
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65%

21%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens University Belfast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens University Belfast's form might have worsened.

Moyola Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moyola Park's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens University Belfast than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens University Belfast, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moyola Park than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moyola Park, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Queens University Belfast - Moyola Park Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Queens University has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Moyola have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Moyola has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Queens University holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for Queens University in today's match, at odds of 1.36.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Moyola	12	4	2	6	14:24	-10	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens University Belfast
Northern Irish Championship
28.08.26	Ards - Queens University Belfast	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Queens University Belfast - Institute FC	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Newington - Queens University Belfast	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Queens University Belfast - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Queens University Belfast - Ballyclare Comrades	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLWW
- Moyola Park
Northern Irish Championship
28.08.26	Moyola Park - Armagh City	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Annagh United - Moyola Park	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Moyola Park - Strabane Athletic	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Moyola Park - Dungannon Swifts	0:3 ✺
28.07.26	Moyola Park - Limavady United	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLL?

Queens University Belfast - Moyola Park