Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 6

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Lions Stadium (Brisbane)


	Queensland Lions		Brisbane City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.55	4.85	Watch
	1.5	4.91	5.23
	1.49	4.91	5.14	Watch
	1.44	4.4	4.8
	1.45	4.7	5.01	Watch
	1.5	4.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	4.6 ↑ (4.1)	4.87 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queensland Lions
61.6%

Draw
19.8%

Brisbane City
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

19.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queensland Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Brisbane City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Queensland Lions - Brisbane City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 3.

Lions is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brisbane City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Brisbane City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lions is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Lions won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:19. (average 3.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 34:9. (average 4.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queensland Lions
Australian NPL Queensland
22.03.26	Queensland Lions - Magic United	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Eastern Suburbs - Queensland Lions	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Rochedale Rovers - Queensland Lions	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Queensland Lions - Gold Coast Knights	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Olympic FC - Queensland Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTL
- Brisbane City
Australian NPL Queensland
21.03.26	Brisbane City - Olympic FC	4:4 ✺
14.03.26	Brisbane City - Gold Coast Knights	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Brisbane City - Eastern Suburbs	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Brisbane City - Moreton City Excelsior	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Brisbane City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
19.07.25	Brisbane City - Queensland Lions	4:2
13.05.25	Queensland Lions - Brisbane City	4:3
06.07.24	Brisbane City - Queensland Lions	0:3
06.04.24	Queensland Lions - Brisbane City	6:0
03.09.23	Brisbane City - Queensland Lions	2:1
17.06.23	Brisbane City - Queensland Lions	0:2
11.03.23	Queensland Lions - Brisbane City	6:3

Queensland Lions - Brisbane City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide