Match Info

NPL Queensland U23 - Round 18

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Queensland Lions U23		Eastern Suburbs U23

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Queensland Lions U23
55.3%

Draw
21.7%

Eastern Suburbs U23
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

22.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queensland Lions U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Eastern Suburbs U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queensland Lions U23 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Suburbs U23 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs: ) and 5).

Queensland Lions U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eastern Suburbs U23 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eastern Suburbs U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Queensland Lions U23 is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queensland Lions U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
04.07.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Olympic FC U20	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Wynnum Wolves U23	4:0 ✺
21.06.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Rochedale Rovers U23	4:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Queensland Lions U23	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Brisbane City U23 - Queensland Lions U23	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLT
- Eastern Suburbs U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
04.07.26	Eastern Suburbs U23 - Peninsula Power U23	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Eastern Suburbs U23 - Olympic FC U20	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Queensland State Team U17 - Eastern Suburbs U23	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Eastern Suburbs U23 - Brisbane City U23	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Eastern Suburbs U23	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWW

Queensland Lions U23 - Eastern Suburbs U23