Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Quepos		Desamparados

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.17	3.41	3.13	Watch
	2.47	3.24	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.07)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	2.72 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quepos
38.5%

Draw
27.8%

Desamparados
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quepos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quepos's form might have worsened.

Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quepos than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quepos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Quepos - Desamparados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Desamparados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Quepos Cambute might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Quepos Cambute won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Quepos Cambute won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Desamparados - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.6%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quepos FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.11.25	Cofutpa - Quepos	5:0 ✺
09.11.25	Quepos - Municipal Grecia	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Jicaral - Quepos	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Quepos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Quepos - Deportivo Upala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTWW
- Fútbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.11.25	Pitbulls - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	3:1 ✺
05.11.25	Aserrí - Desamparados	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	2:2 ✺
30.10.25	Desamparados - Carmelita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
25.04.25	Desamparados - Quepos	2:0
20.04.25	Quepos - Desamparados	3:2

Quepos - Desamparados: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide