Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Querétaro U21		Toluca U21

	1	X	2
	4.40	3.90	1.58
	4.40	3.85	1.58
	4.58	4.01	1.61
	4.25	3.75	1.55
	4.64	4.02	1.62
	4.50	3.80	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.9)	3.89 ↑ (3.48)	1.59 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Querétaro U21
20.2%

Draw
23.1%

Toluca U21
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Querétaro U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Toluca U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca U21's recent form is better than expected.

Querétaro U21 - Toluca U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
62', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Querétaro U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toluca U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toluca U21 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Querétaro U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33
18	Queretaro U21	12	2	0	0	10	15:25	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Querétaro U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
16.08.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Querétaro U21	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Querétaro U21 - Tigres UANL U21	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Pachuca U21 - Querétaro U21	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Querétaro U21 - Club América U21	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Puebla U21 - Querétaro U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLW
- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
02.08.26	Toluca U21 - Necaxa U21	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Toluca U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Toluca U21	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Juárez U21 - Toluca U21	3:0 ✺
29.04.26	Toluca U21 - Juárez U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
04.04.26	Querétaro U21 - Toluca U21	2:1
18.10.25	Toluca U21 - Querétaro U21	4:2

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