Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Quintanar del Rey		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.52	3.05	2.52
	2.62	2.88	2.77
	2.62	2.97	2.71	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.55	2.85	2.72
	2.25	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.25)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.7 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quintanar del Rey
36%

Draw
30.4%

Alcalá
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

30.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quintanar del Rey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Quintanar del Rey - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In recent matches, Quintanar del Rey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alcalá is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quintanar del Rey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.04.26	Intercity - Quintanar del Rey	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Quintanar del Rey	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Quintanar del Rey - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Quintanar del Rey - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Socuéllamos - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.04.26	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fuenlabrada - Alcalá	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Alcalá - Las Palmas B	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Alcalá - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Alcalá - Quintanar del Rey	1:0

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