Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 5

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Rīgas FS 2		Riga Mariners

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.95	1.82
	3.36	4.21	1.79	Watch
	3.29	4.05	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.76)	4.07 ↑ (3.8)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rīgas FS 2
27.6%

Draw
22.3%

Riga Mariners
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

23.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rīgas FS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rīgas FS 2's form might have worsened.

Riga Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga Mariners's recent form is better than expected.

Rīgas FS 2 - Riga Mariners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Abrants K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Stadnik Y. A. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Grazis A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, RFS 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, RFS 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	50:23	27	47
12	RFS 2	21	4	3	14	34:62	-28	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rīgas FS 2
Latvian 1 Liga
19.04.26	JDFS Alberts - Rīgas FS 2	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Metta	0:3 ✺
29.03.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Valmiera	1:5 ✺
22.03.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Smiltene	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Smiltene - Rīgas FS 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTT
- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
19.04.26	Riga Mariners - Riga 2	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga Mariners	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Riga Mariners - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	JDFS Alberts - Riga Mariners	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
01.11.25	Riga Mariners - Rīgas FS 2	4:3
05.07.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Riga Mariners	1:3

Rīgas FS 2 - Riga Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide