Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pakansari Stadium (Cibinong)


	RANS Nusantara		Persipal Palu

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	2.97	3.35	2.13
	3.18	3.45	2.07	Watch
	3.37	3.32	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.57)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	2.08 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RANS Nusantara
28.9%

Draw
27.3%

Persipal Palu
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RANS Nusantara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RANS Nusantara's form might have worsened.

Persipal Palu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persipal Palu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RANS Nusantara than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RANS Nusantara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persipal Palu than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persipal Palu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

RANS Nusantara - Persipal Palu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Persipal Palu will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Persipal Palu: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Galih D. (C) 29. Achmad Arthur 33. Ariyanto D. 5. Hadi I. 21. Haris A. 87. Irhaz I. 99. Maza R. 19. Seifahlepi V. 13. Siregar R. 14. Uulu Talgat B. 7. Veras I.	32. Ramadhan R. (G) 96. Hutagalung A. 14. Isir J. 3. Kalugin M. 22. Ma'arif R. 13. Pae V. 28. Rizki M. 17. Said M. 16. Saputra R. (C) 27. Tri Maulana D. 80. Utomo R.
Substitutes
64. Ariyadi G. 27. Brilian W. 20. Christiantoko Y. 15. Fery Bagus (G) 76. Ibrahim G. 96. Idris F. (G) 11. Isa M. 45. Munhar 25. Nurchaaq M. 22. Saputra F. 91. Susilo R. R. 28. Zulhairi M.	1. Abizal R. (G) 88. Adri M. 12. Ardiansyah F. 77. Arjidan F. 19. Fariansyah A. 2. Mahdi H. 20. Pandi Pulu 23. Renaldy N. 5. Sahrian D. 9. Shaibu A. 24. Wiradinata R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hadi I. 🟨,
39', Rizki M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ma'arif R. ↓, Ardiansyah F. ↑,
46', Rizki M. ↓, Arjidan F. ↑,
55', Ariyanto D. 🟨,
55', Isir J. 🟨,
69', Said M. 🟨,
75', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', Said M. ↓, Wiradinata R. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', Utomo R. ↓, Fariansyah A. ↑,
90+2', Ramadhan R. 🟨,
90+3', Saputra F. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

RANS Nusantara is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Persipal Palu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RANS Nusantara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches RANS Nusantara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Including matches at home between the teams RANS Nusantara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RANS Nusantara
Indonesian Championship
01.02.25	Persipa Pati - RANS Nusantara	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	RANS Nusantara - Persipura Jayapura	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Persikas Subang - RANS Nusantara	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	RANS Nusantara - Persewar Waropen	3:5 ✺
04.01.25	Persibo Bojonegoro - RANS Nusantara	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLLL
- Persipal Palu
Indonesian Championship
01.02.25	Persipal Palu - Persikas Subang	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Persipal Palu - Persipura Jayapura	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Persipa Pati - Persipal Palu	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Persela Lamongan - Persipal Palu	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Persipal Palu - Persibo Bojonegoro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
12.10.24	RANS Nusantara - Persipal Palu	0:3

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