Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 20

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Boike J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
World	Onefootball


	RB Leipzig		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	3.7	2.42
	2.4	4.02	2.47
	2.06	3.86	3.08	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.4
	2.45	3.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.03)	3.81 ↑ (3.73)	2.57 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
40%

Draw
24.2%

Union Berlin
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

24.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

24%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

RB Leipzig - Union Berlin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herzog E. (G) 24. Dudek N. 3. Norheim A. 21. Landenberger J. 14. Schimmer M. 13. Starke S. (C) 6. Joly L. 11. Baum L. 16. Schasching A. 8. Asgeirsdottir E. 17. Boboy D.	1. Bosl C. (G) 21. Weiss A. 26. Tysiak A. 19. Steuerwald S. 17. Steinert J. 31. Pawollek T. 11. Orschmann D. 41. Kamber L. 7. Heiseler L. (C) 14. Eurlings H. 9. Weidauer S.
Substitutes
10. Chmielinski G. 4. Grunenberg R. 20. Krug V. 5. Magerl J. 9. Oteng P. 23. Spitzner K. 28. von Schrader L. (G)	28. Bohi N. (G) 10. Campbell E. 16. Georgieva M. 29. Halverkamps A. 25. Heikkinen I. 27. Hipp J. 77. Moraitou A. 5. Orschmann K. 42. Reissner N.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Poese A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Weidauer S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Baum L. ⚽, Starke S. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Schimmer M. ⚽, Landenberger J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Steuerwald S. ⚽, Orschmann D. (A),
61', Heiseler L. ↓, Hipp J. ↑,
61', Orschmann D. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
68', Schimmer M. 🟨,
75', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Krug V. ↑,
77', Weiss A. ↓, Heikkinen I. ↑,
77', Eurlings H. ↓, Reissner N. ↑,
88', Weidauer S. ↓, Halverkamps A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

RB Leipzig might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig W	6	2	1	3	10:9	1	7
10	Union Berlin W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig Women
German Bundesliga Women
22.02.26	SGS Essen - RB Leipzig	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	RB Leipzig - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWTL
- Union Berlin Women
German Bundesliga Women
20.02.26	Union Berlin - Köln	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Freiburg - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Union Berlin - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	SGS Essen - Union Berlin	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Union Berlin - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
19.10.25	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	5:0
German DFB Pokal Women
08.09.24	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	1:0

RB Leipzig - Union Berlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide