Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	RC Villalbes		Alondras

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.90
	2.02	3.00	3.15
	2.59	3.17	2.57
	2.4	3.21	2.79	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.34	3.23	2.91
	2.35	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.02)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.79 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RC Villalbes
38.4%

Draw
29.1%

Alondras
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RC Villalbes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alondras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 🟥,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villalbes won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Alondras could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Alondras has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Villalbes has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 0.8:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Villalbes against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Racing Club Villalbes	8	2	5	1	10:9	1	11
10	Alondras	8	3	2	3	11:11	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

RC Villalbes - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.10.26	Viveiro - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	RC Villalbes - Estradense	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Silva SD - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Montañeros - RC Villalbes	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	RC Villalbes - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWT
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.10.26	Alondras - Boiro	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Alondras - Montañeros	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Atlético Arteixo - Alondras	2:4 ✺
20.09.26	Alondras - Sarriana	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Alondras - Pontevedra B	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.01.26	Alondras - RC Villalbes	1:0
07.09.25	RC Villalbes - Alondras	0:2
06.04.25	Alondras - RC Villalbes	0:0
24.11.24	RC Villalbes - Alondras	1:0
26.03.23	RC Villalbes - Alondras	1:0
03.12.22	Alondras - RC Villalbes	1:1
01.03.22	RC Villalbes - Alondras	1:0

RC Villalbes - Alondras