Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 7

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)


	RFC Liège		Beveren

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.78	3.91	1.87
	4.34	2.51	2.27	Watch
	3.58	3.54	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.12)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	1.94 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
24.3%

Draw
27.4%

Beveren
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

26.7%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.9%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RFC Liège's form might have worsened.

Beveren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RFC Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beveren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

RFC Liège - Beveren Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Beveren (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Beveren (7.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Beveren (7.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beveren will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beveren will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Beveren (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belin J. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 16. N'jo E. 4. Bustin J. (C) 14. Lucker L. 5. Ngawa P. 10. Hazard K. 8. Sarmiento D. 24. Marzo S. 11. Lefebvre A. 9. Diouf O.	1. Reus B. (G) 21. Jans L. (C) 3. Boone V. 31. Godeau B. 4. Janssens C. 18. Dewaele S. 34. Abrahams K. 22. Bruls C. 78. Van Hecke J. 17. Margaritha J. 92. Mertens L.
Substitutes
1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 17. Da Silva F. 25. D'Ostilio J. 20. Gobitaka F. 13. Mouchamps D. 18. Paulet S. 6. Shkurti K. 19. Soelle F.	20. Dassy D. 16. Deman M. (G) 77. Erturk H. 35. Gomis Y. 11. Michiwaki Y. 7. Najim I. 28. Ouedraogo A. 6. Rigo D. 8. Slegers F.
Coaches
Englebert G.	Reedijk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Dewaele S. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Mertens L. ⚽, Jans L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, De Sart A. ⚽, Sarmiento D. (A),
59', Boone V. 🟨,
61', Sarmiento D. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
61', Hazard K. ↓, Paulet S. ↑,
67', Abrahams K. ↓, Rigo D. ↑,
68', Van Hecke J. ↓, Slegers F. ↑,
75', Margaritha J. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
79', Diouf O. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
79', Lefebvre A. ↓, D'Ostilio J. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Najim I. ⚽, Slegers F. (A),
83', De Sart A. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
86', Bustin J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League).

RFC Liège is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beveren is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Beveren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Beveren is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.09.25	RFC Liège - Anderlecht U23	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Brugge U23 - RFC Liège	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	RFC Liège - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lokeren - RFC Liège	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	RFC Liège - Seraing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWW
- SK Beveren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.09.25	Beveren - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Beveren	0:5 ✺
29.08.25	Beveren - Gent U23	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	RWDM Brussels - Beveren	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Beveren - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
15.02.25	Beveren - RFC Liège	3:1
31.08.24	RFC Liège - Beveren	0:0
31.03.24	RFC Liège - Beveren	5:1
24.09.23	Beveren - RFC Liège	1:2

Upcoming Matches