Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2


	RFC Liège		RAAL La Louvière

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.35	3.7	2	Watch
	3.57	3.91	1.98
	3.51	3.81	1.93	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2
	3.51	3.81	1.92	Watch
	3.35	3.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.92)	3.7 (3.7)	1.95 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
27%

Draw
25.1%

RAAL La Louvière
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.7%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.2%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RAAL La Louvière could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. RFC Liège will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). La Louvière will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lejoly A. (G) 5. Ngawa P. 19. Lambot B. 4. Bustin J. 25. D'Ostilio J. 13. Mouchamps D. 2. Lioka J. 6. Merlen R. 7. Bruggeman B. 17. Da Silva F. 11. Lefebvre A.	21. Peano M. (G) 51. Sidibe S. 4. Faye W. 13. Maisonneuve M. 25. Lamego D. 11. Liongola J. 10. Pau M. 15. Lahssaini S. 8. Gueulette S. 28. Botella I. 9. Guindo M.
Substitutes
10. Albanese A. 15. Arslan A. 9. Atteri Z. 21. Cascio A. 26. Cavelier M. 1. Debaty K. (G) 14. Lucker L. 24. Marzo S. 23. Reynaerts S.	31. Camara H. 38. Diallo T. 27. Eyongo R. 7. Gobitaka F. 23. Ito J. 44. Klomp D. 98. Maes O. 70. Nagera K. 1. Valkenaers A. (G)
Coaches
Englebert G.	Taquin F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Bruggeman B. ⚽, D'Ostilio J. (A),
31', Pau M. 🟨,
45+1', Lioka J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Pau M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sidibe S. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
46', Pau M. ↓, Maes O. ↑,
46', Lioka J. ↓, Lucker L. ↑,
64', Da Silva F. ↓, Cavelier M. ↑,
69', Lefebvre A. ↓, Atteri Z. ↑,
76', Guindo M. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
78', Mouchamps D. ↓, Marzo S. ↑,
78', Ngawa P. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
79', Gobitaka F. 🟨,
82', Merlen R. 🟨,
83', Lahssaini S. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
83', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches RFC Liège won 3.

Recent matches RFC Liège is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Louvière is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Louvière will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches RFC Liège won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:7 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams RFC Liège won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.03.25	Anderlecht U23 - RFC Liège	2:4 ✺
23.02.25	RFC Liège - Lierse	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Beveren - RFC Liège	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	RFC Liège - Francs Borains	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	RFC Liège - Seraing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.02.25	RAAL La Louvière - Eupen	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - RAAL La Louvière	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	RAAL La Louvière - Seraing	4:1 ✺
09.02.25	Lokeren - RAAL La Louvière	0:5 ✺
02.02.25	RAAL La Louvière - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
02.11.24	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	3:1
Belgian National Division 1
13.05.23	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	0:3
18.12.22	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:0
19.01.20	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:1
09.11.19	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	3:2
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group C
09.05.18	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	1:0
22.04.18	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	0:3

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