Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4
United-kingdom	Nifl TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Onefootball


	RFS		Glentoran

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	5.50	Watch
	1.34	4.80	7.25	Watch
	1.33	5.50	7.00
	1.31	5.76	7.41
	1.14	7.43	17.97	Watch
	1.26	5.70	7.30
	1.32	5.55	7.39	Watch
	1.34	5.20	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)	5.65 ↑ (4.46)	8.38 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
72.2%

Draw
16.6%

Glentoran
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFS's performance.

Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

RFS - Glentoran Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Glentoran (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.96) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Glentoran (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nerugals J. (G) 6. Filipovic A. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 99. Kumater S. 66. Saidy M. 26. Panic S. 8. Odisharia L. 10. Ikaunieks J. 18. Zelenkovs D. 15. Ndjiki R.	31. Francis Crellin W. (G) 20. Larmour D. 4. Ibsen Rossi Z. 27. Singleton J. (C) 2. Cooney R. 10. Stewart J. 7. Clarke R. 8. McEneff A. 29. Malone J. 6. Thomson J. 9. Hoban P.
Substitutes
49. Kigurs M. 22. Lemajic D. 77. Mankenda G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 81. Rakic S. 11. Savalnieks R. 5. Sliede N. 4. Veips R.	11. Daniels J. 33. Donnelly L. (G) 44. Douglas J. 19. Gallagher B. 30. Jenkins J. 3. Kane M. 5. Kelly J. 21. Lindsay J. 1. Mills A. (G) 12. Sloggett G. 23. Walsh R. 35. Weatherup C.
Coaches
Morozs V.	Devine D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Saidy M. ⚽, Odisharia L. (A),
11', Larmour D. ↓, Kane M. ↑,
22', Ibsen Rossi Z. 🟨,
43', Prenga H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Clarke R. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Ndjiki R. (A),
62', Odisharia L. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
63', Kane M. 🟨,
68', Ndjiki R. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
68', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
72', Stewart J. ↓, Daniels J. ↑,
72', Malone J. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
77', Singleton J. 🟨,
78', Kelly J. 🟨,
81', Ikaunieks J. ↓, Rakic S. ↑,
81', Filipovic A. ↓, Savalnieks R. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

RFS has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Glentoran is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

RFS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Glentoran has had a series of home games.

In this match, RFS is the team to beat.

We predict that RFS will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, RFS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Latvian Cup
12.07.26	RFS - Jelgava	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Glentoran - RFS	1:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
04.07.26	RFS - Auda Riga	1:1 ✺
30.06.26	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	Liepāja - RFS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW
- Glentoran
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Glentoran - RFS	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Dundela - Glentoran	3:3 ✺
01.07.26	Glentoran - Kilmarnock	0:4 ✺
24.06.26	Glentoran - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Glentoran - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Glentoran - RFS	1:2

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