Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Habay-la-Neuve

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.75	2.15
	2.55	3.60	2.23
	2.18	3.94	2.50
	2.83	3.88	2.1
	2.69	3.87	2.22	Watch
	2.65	3.70	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.74)	3.79 ↑ (3.62)	2.22 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
35.2%

Draw
24%

Habay-la-Neuve
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

24.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Habay-la-Neuve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Habay-la-Neuve than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Habay la Neuve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
111', 🟥,
Penalties (2 - 3)

Preview

In recent outings, ROCCM has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Habay-la-Neuve has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
19.09.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Tubize	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Royale Union SG 2	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Mons - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Onhaye - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Tienen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLWT
- RSC Habay-la-Neuve
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
20.09.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Flénu	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Standard Liège U23	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Royale Union SG 2 - Habay-la-Neuve	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Rochefortoise - Habay-la-Neuve	4:2 ✺
26.08.26	Habay-la-Neuve - RWDM Brussels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WTLLL

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