Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Achille Hammerel (Luxembourg)


	Racing Luxembourg		Jeunesse Esch

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.80	4.40
	1.57	3.75	4.70
	1.61	4.12	4.66
	1.6	4.12	4.59	Watch
	1.56	3.90	5.00
	1.68	4.08	4.40
	1.59	3.85	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.95 ↑ (3.73)	4.58 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Luxembourg
57%

Draw
23.1%

Jeunesse Esch
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Delferriere A. ⚽, Kante M. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Stolz D. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Stolz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 4 - 0, Stolz D. ⚽, Ikene F. (A),
61', 4 - 1, Schmitz K. ⚽,
66', Andrade D. 🟨,
67', Ikene F. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 5 - 1, Kante M. ⚽, Yere I. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 1.

Racing Luxembourg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jeunesse Esch's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Racing Luxembourg is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Racing Luxembourg will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Luxembourg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14:17	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
06.09.26	F91 Dudelange - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	5:0 ✺
02.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Käerjéng 97	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	MVV Maastricht - Racing Luxembourg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWWT
- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
06.09.26	Jeunesse Esch - Wiltz 71	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Rumelange - Jeunesse Esch	2:5 ✺
16.08.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Jeunesse Esch - Koeppchen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
21.02.26	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	3:2
24.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:1
27.04.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	2:0
03.11.24	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	2:1
24.02.24	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	3:0
27.08.23	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	0:3
29.03.23	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	1:1

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