Match Info

SERBIA: SERBIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday


	Radnički Beograd		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.46
	5.6	3.9	1.47
	6.07	3.25	1.58
	6.5	3.7	1.47
	5.15	3.82	1.57
	5.8	3.95	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.77 ↓ (6.9)	3.77 ↓ (4.23)	1.51 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnički Beograd
15.7%

Draw
24%

Radnik Surdulica
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

21.4%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

20.6%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnički Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnik Surdulica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Beograd than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnik Surdulica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Radnički Beograd - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Radnički Beograd will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Radnik will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički Beograd: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Radnički Beograd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Radnik is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Radnik is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnički Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
05.11.22	Radnički Sremska Mitrovica - Radnički Beograd	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Radnički Beograd - Metalac	2:0 ✺
24.10.22	Radnički Beograd - Inđija	0:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
19.10.22	Radnički Beograd - Mladost Lučani	2:1 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
14.10.22	Vršac - Radnički Beograd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWLWL
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
05.11.22	Radnički 1923 - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Radnik Surdulica - Spartak Subotica	2:0 ✺
24.10.22	Mladost Novi Sad - Radnik Surdulica	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
07.10.22	Radnik Surdulica - Novi Pazar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLT

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