Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Radnik Bijeljina		Željezničar Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.90	2.70
	2.24	3.04	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.27)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.87 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Bijeljina
38.9%

Draw
30%

Željezničar Sarajevo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Bijeljina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Bijeljina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Radnik Bijeljina - Željezničar Sarajevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th in the Relegation and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik Bijeljina won 1.

Radnik Bijeljina is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Željezničar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Radnik Bijeljina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Radnik Bijeljina holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Radnik Bijeljina has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:25 (averaging 0.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Radnik Bijeljina against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 0.6:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zeljeznicar	8	3	3	2	10:9	1	12
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	12:19	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Željezničar Sarajevo - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Bijeljina
Club Friendly
27.09.26	Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
19.09.26	BSK Banja Luka - Radnik Bijeljina	4:4 ✺
11.09.26	Čelik Zenica - Radnik Bijeljina	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Radnik Bijeljina - Sloga Doboj	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Velež Mostar - Radnik Bijeljina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLT
- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
18.09.26	Željezničar Sarajevo - Čelik Zenica	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sloga Doboj - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sarajevo	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Željezničar Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Borac Banja Luka - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
11.04.26	Radnik Bijeljina - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:3
13.12.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Radnik Bijeljina	0:0
05.10.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0
27.07.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Radnik Bijeljina	1:1
31.05.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2
16.03.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:3
25.10.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Radnik Bijeljina	2:0

Radnik Bijeljina - Željezničar Sarajevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide